CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-12-29T06:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-12-29T06:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/36050/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the southeast in STEREO A COR2 and as a partial halo directed towards the southeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 imagery. The source is likely related to an eruption and subsequent M2.0 flare from from Active Region 13939 (S17E30) starting around 2024-12-29T04:40Z as seen in GOES SUVI 131, 171, 195, 284, 304 imagery. A subsequent dimming is observed around the eruption site in GOES SUVI 195 imagery at this time as well.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-12-31T15:44Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 8.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-12-31T16:03Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 87.5%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 7.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: -173.22 hour(s)
Difference: -0.32 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:57Z
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